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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 15 Min

03:15 → 03:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live03:15 → 03:30 UTC

Market ID doge-15m-20261115-0315

Settles in

04:56

Price to beat

$0.05893
Index at 03:15:00

Current index

$0.05893
±0.00000(0.000%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 03:30:00
0.058980.059040.0590903:1503:1803:2203:2603:30PTB 0.05893
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN53.0%Low
UP 47.0%53.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
3 markets
Model version
meta-doge15-v1
published 03:15:05 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN59.4%
UP 40.6%59.4% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 markets
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Medium33.3%3 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.4%
UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 markets
Order Flow AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Low66.7%3 markets
Volatility AgentDOWN54.9%
UP 45.1%54.9% DOWN
Medium33.3%3 markets
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low100.0%3 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low0.0%3 markets
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:15:00 UTC

03:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.05894ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05893ok
  • Coinbase−2.5 bps0.05892ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05893

Current index

03:25:03 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.1 bps0.05893ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.7 bps0.05893ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05893ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05893

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:00 → 03:15Nov 150.058560.05893UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%LOSS
02:45 → 03:00Nov 150.058390.05856UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 150.058130.05839UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent66.7%3 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent100.0%3 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent66.7%3 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent33.3%3 mkts
  5. 5Volatility Agent33.3%3 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent33.3%3 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology