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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 15 Min

03:30 → 03:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live03:30 → 03:45 UTC

Market ID doge-15m-20261115-0330

Settles in

06:50

Price to beat

$0.05880
Index at 03:30:00

Current index

$0.05894
+0.00014(0.238%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 03:45:00
0.058640.058750.058870.0589803:3003:3303:3703:4103:45PTB 0.05880
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN51.3%Low
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
25.0%
4 markets
Model version
meta-doge15-v1
published 03:30:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN54.5%
UP 45.5%54.5% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Medium75.0%4 markets
Mean Reversion AgentUP52.9%
UP 52.9%47.1% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 markets
RSI Divergence AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 markets
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Low50.0%4 markets
Volatility AgentDOWN53.4%
UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 markets
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low75.0%4 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low25.0%4 markets
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Low50.0%4 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:30:00 UTC

03:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.8 bps0.05881ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05880ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.4 bps0.05879ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05880

Current index

03:38:07 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.5 bps0.05895ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.0 bps0.05893ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05894ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05894

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:15 → 03:30Nov 150.058930.05880DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%WIN
03:00 → 03:15Nov 150.058560.05893UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%LOSS
02:45 → 03:00Nov 150.058390.05856UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 150.058130.05839UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent75.0%4 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent75.0%4 mkts
  3. 3Volatility Agent50.0%4 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent50.0%4 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent50.0%4 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent25.0%4 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology