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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 15 Min

03:45 → 04:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live03:45 → 04:00 UTC

Market ID doge-15m-20261115-0345

Settles in

09:40

Price to beat

$0.05905
Index at 03:45:00

Current index

$0.05876
−0.00029(-0.491%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 04:00:00
0.058760.058870.058970.0590803:4503:4803:5203:5604:00PTB 0.05905
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
UP51.4%Low
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
20.0%
5 markets
Model version
meta-doge15-v1
published 03:45:05 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 UP

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentUP52.3%
UP 52.3%47.7% DOWN
Medium20.0%5 markets
Momentum AgentUP52.4%
UP 52.4%47.6% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Medium40.0%5 markets
RSI Divergence AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Medium40.0%5 markets
Order Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low40.0%5 markets
Volatility AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Medium40.0%5 markets
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low80.0%5 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low20.0%5 markets
Whale Flow AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low40.0%5 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:45:00 UTC

03:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.8 bps0.05904ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.05905ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05905ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05905

Current index

03:50:17 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.7 bps0.05877ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.05874ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05876ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05876

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:30 → 03:45Nov 150.058800.05905UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%LOSS
03:15 → 03:30Nov 150.058930.05880DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%WIN
03:00 → 03:15Nov 150.058560.05893UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%LOSS
02:45 → 03:00Nov 150.058390.05856UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 150.058130.05839UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent80.0%5 mkts
  2. 2Momentum Agent60.0%5 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent40.0%5 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent40.0%5 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent40.0%5 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent40.0%5 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology