Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 15 Min

02:30 → 02:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:30 → 02:45 UTC

Market ID hype-15m-20261115-0230

Settled

Nov 15, 02:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.799
Index at 02:30:00

Final index

$65.970

Settlement price

$65.970
Index at 02:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
65.98866.17066.35102:3002:3302:3702:4102:45PTB 65.799

Settlement $65.970

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN51.3%Low
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
33.3%
3 markets
Model version
meta-hype15-v1
published 02:30:06 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.5%
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Medium33.3%3 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low33.3%3 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP52.3%
UP 52.3%47.7% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low100.0%3 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low33.3%3 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Low33.3%3 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:30:00 UTC

02:30:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.6 bps65.816ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.799ok
  • Hyperliquid−4.4 bps65.770ok
Median of 3 sources$65.799

Settlement · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+3.8 bps65.995ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.970ok
  • Hyperliquid−0.2 bps65.969ok
Median of 3 sources$65.970

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent100.0%3 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent66.7%3 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent66.7%3 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent33.3%3 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent33.3%3 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent33.3%3 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology