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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 15 Min

02:45 → 03:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:45 → 03:00 UTC

Market ID hype-15m-20261115-0245

Settled

Nov 15, 03:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.970
Index at 02:45:00

Final index

$66.096

Settlement price

$66.096
Index at 03:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
65.70565.84966.13802:4502:4802:5202:5603:00PTB 65.970

Settlement $66.096

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN52.3%Low
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
33.3%
3 markets
Model version
meta-hype15-v1
published 02:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.0%
UP 47.0%53.0% DOWN
Medium33.3%3 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN54.1%
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP52.4%
UP 52.4%47.6% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Low33.3%3 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low66.7%3 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low100.0%3 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low33.3%3 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low33.3%3 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+3.8 bps65.995ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.970ok
  • Hyperliquid−0.2 bps65.969ok
Median of 3 sources$65.970

Settlement · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.096ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−1.7 bps66.085ok
  • Hyperliquid+10.4 bps66.165ok
Median of 3 sources$66.096

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:30 → 02:45Nov 1565.79965.970UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent100.0%3 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent66.7%3 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent66.7%3 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent33.3%3 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent33.3%3 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent33.3%3 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology