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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 15 Min

03:00 → 03:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:00 → 03:15 UTC

Market ID hype-15m-20261115-0300

Settled

Nov 15, 03:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$66.096
Index at 03:00:00

Final index

$66.260

Settlement price

$66.260
Index at 03:15:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
66.23766.40966.58003:0003:0303:0703:1103:15PTB 66.096

Settlement $66.260

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
UP51.5%Low
UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
4 markets
Model version
meta-hype15-v1
published 03:00:09 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP55.4%
UP 55.4%44.6% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN55.0%
UP 45.0%55.0% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low25.0%4 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP53.2%
UP 53.2%46.8% DOWN
Medium75.0%4 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low75.0%4 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low50.0%4 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low25.0%4 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.096ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−1.7 bps66.085ok
  • Hyperliquid+10.4 bps66.165ok
Median of 3 sources$66.096

Settlement · 03:15:00 UTC

03:15:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD−1.2 bps66.252ok
  • Hyperliquid+0.2 bps66.262ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.260ok
Median of 3 sources$66.260

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:45 → 03:00Nov 1565.97066.096UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 1565.79965.970UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Volatility Agent75.0%4 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent75.0%4 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent50.0%4 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent50.0%4 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent50.0%4 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent50.0%4 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology