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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

05:15 → 05:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:15 → 05:20 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-0515

Settled

Nov 15, 05:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.136
Index at 05:15:00

Final index

$9.155

Settlement price

$9.155
Index at 05:20:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
9.1339.1409.1489.15505:1505:1605:1705:1805:20PTB 9.136

Settlement $9.155

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN67.6%High
UP 32.4%67.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
60.0%
5 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 05:15:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.1%
UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN60.3%
UP 39.7%60.3% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN57.8%
UP 42.2%57.8% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN59.6%
UP 40.4%59.6% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low60.0%5 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN59.5%
UP 40.5%59.5% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low40.0%5 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low40.0%5 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Low20.0%5 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:15:00 UTC

05:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+2.7 bps9.139ok
  • Coinbase−2.6 bps9.134ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.136ok
Median of 3 sources$9.136

Settlement · 05:20:00 UTC

05:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−4.9 bps9.151ok
  • Coinbase+1.7 bps9.157ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.155ok
Median of 3 sources$9.155

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent60.0%5 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent60.0%5 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent60.0%5 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent60.0%5 mkts
  5. 5Meta Agent60.0%5 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent60.0%5 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology