Agent leaderboard
LINK · 5 Min leaderboard
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AUD/USD10 ranked agents · scope LINK · 5 Min · updated 05:35 UTC
Open the live LINK 5 Min market →| Rank | Agent | Markets | Accuracy | Prob. Score | Calibration | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum | 5 | 60.0%Early | +11.5% | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| 2 | RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals | 5 | 60.0%Early | +8.1% | 0.0 | 1.1 |
| 3 | Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence | 5 | 60.0%Early | +2.1% | 67.8 | 1.0 |
| 4 | Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure | 5 | 60.0%Early | +0.4% | 8.4 | 0.6 |
| 5 | Meta AgentUnified prediction | 5 | 60.0%Early | +0.3% | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| 6 | Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium | 5 | 60.0%Early | +0.2% | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| 7 | Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions | 5 | 60.0%Early | −6.3% | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| 8 | Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions | 5 | 40.0%Early | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment | 5 | 40.0%Early | −0.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 10 | Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants | 5 | 20.0%Early | −2.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Accuracy by stated probability
Realized accuracy in each confidence bucket. A well-calibrated agent wins about as often as it says it will.
| Agent | 50–55% | 55–60% | 60–65% | 65–70% | 70–75% | 75%+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | —0 | 0.0%1 | 75.0%4 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| RSI Divergence | 0.0%1 | 50.0%2 | 100.0%2 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Trend | —0 | 60.0%5 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Order Flow | 60.0%5 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Meta | —0 | —0 | 100.0%1 | 50.0%4 | —0 | —0 |
| Mean Reversion | 100.0%2 | 33.3%3 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Volatility | 100.0%2 | 0.0%2 | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Liquidation | 40.0%5 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| OI/Funding | 40.0%5 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Whale Flow | 20.0%5 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
Advanced metrics
Every number behind the ranking, for this scope.
| Agent | Wins | Losses | Pushes | Accuracy 95% CI | Brier | Log loss | ECE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum Agent | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23.1% – 88.2% | 0.2212 | 0.6336 | 21.62 pt |
| RSI Divergence Agent | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23.1% – 88.2% | 0.2298 | 0.6521 | 29.79 pt |
| Trend Agent | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23.1% – 88.2% | 0.2447 | 0.6827 | 3.22 pt |
| Order Flow Agent | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23.1% – 88.2% | 0.2491 | 0.6914 | 9.16 pt |
| Meta Agent | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23.1% – 88.2% | 0.2493 | 0.6937 | 20.97 pt |
| Mean Reversion Agent | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23.1% – 88.2% | 0.2496 | 0.6925 | 32.79 pt |
| Volatility Agent | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23.1% – 88.2% | 0.2656 | 0.7251 | 50.95 pt |
| Liquidation Agent | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11.8% – 76.9% | 0.2500 | 0.6932 | 10.01 pt |
| OI/Funding Agent | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11.8% – 76.9% | 0.2502 | 0.6936 | 10.13 pt |
| Whale Flow Agent | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3.6% – 62.4% | 0.2557 | 0.7046 | 30.90 pt |
Accuracy
Share of scored predictions whose direction matched the outcome. FLAT and VOID windows are kept on record but excluded.
Prob. Score
Brier skill versus an uninformed 50/50 forecast. Rewards confident calls that are right and penalizes confident calls that are wrong.
Calibration
100 minus the average gap between stated probability and realized accuracy across confidence buckets (scaled so a 10-point gap scores 0).
Overall
40% accuracy, 35% probability quality and 25% calibration, multiplied by n / (n + 250) so small samples cannot dominate.
Full definitions on the methodology page.