Agent leaderboard
NEAR · 5 Min leaderboard
10 ranked agents · scope NEAR · 5 Min · updated 05:40 UTC
Open the live NEAR 5 Min market →| Rank | Agent | Markets | Accuracy | Prob. Score | Calibration | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants | 4 | 75.0%Early | +2.4% | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| 2 | Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions | 4 | 75.0%Early | +1.0% | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| 3 | OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment | 4 | 50.0%Early | +0.3% | 95.8 | 0.4 |
| 4 | Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions | 4 | 50.0%Early | 0.0% | 99.9 | 0.4 |
| 5 | RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals | 4 | 50.0%Early | +4.4% | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 6 | Meta AgentUnified prediction | 4 | 50.0%Early | +3.4% | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 7 | Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence | 4 | 50.0%Early | +3.2% | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 8 | Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum | 4 | 50.0%Early | +1.5% | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| 9 | Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium | 4 | 25.0%Early | −5.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 10 | Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure | 4 | 25.0%Early | −1.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Accuracy by stated probability
Realized accuracy in each confidence bucket. A well-calibrated agent wins about as often as it says it will.
| Agent | 50–55% | 55–60% | 60–65% | 65–70% | 70–75% | 75%+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whale Flow | 75.0%4 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Volatility | 100.0%2 | 50.0%2 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| OI/Funding | 50.0%4 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Liquidation | 50.0%4 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| RSI Divergence | 33.3%3 | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Meta | 0.0%1 | 66.7%3 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Trend | 33.3%3 | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Momentum | 33.3%3 | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Mean Reversion | 25.0%4 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Order Flow | 25.0%4 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
Advanced metrics
Every number behind the ranking, for this scope.
| Agent | Wins | Losses | Pushes | Accuracy 95% CI | Brier | Log loss | ECE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whale Flow Agent | 3 | 1 | 1 | 30.1% – 95.4% | 0.2439 | 0.6809 | 23.71 pt |
| Volatility Agent | 3 | 1 | 1 | 30.1% – 95.4% | 0.2475 | 0.6884 | 27.22 pt |
| OI/Funding Agent | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15.0% – 85.0% | 0.2492 | 0.6915 | 0.42 pt |
| Liquidation Agent | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15.0% – 85.0% | 0.2500 | 0.6931 | 0.01 pt |
| RSI Divergence Agent | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15.0% – 85.0% | 0.2391 | 0.6712 | 26.09 pt |
| Meta Agent | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15.0% – 85.0% | 0.2416 | 0.6763 | 19.11 pt |
| Trend Agent | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15.0% – 85.0% | 0.2420 | 0.6770 | 24.60 pt |
| Momentum Agent | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15.0% – 85.0% | 0.2463 | 0.6857 | 26.87 pt |
| Mean Reversion Agent | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4.6% – 69.9% | 0.2625 | 0.7183 | 28.25 pt |
| Order Flow Agent | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4.6% – 69.9% | 0.2548 | 0.7028 | 25.97 pt |
Accuracy
Share of scored predictions whose direction matched the outcome. FLAT and VOID windows are kept on record but excluded.
Prob. Score
Brier skill versus an uninformed 50/50 forecast. Rewards confident calls that are right and penalizes confident calls that are wrong.
Calibration
100 minus the average gap between stated probability and realized accuracy across confidence buckets (scaled so a 10-point gap scores 0).
Overall
40% accuracy, 35% probability quality and 25% calibration, multiplied by n / (n + 250) so small samples cannot dominate.
Full definitions on the methodology page.