NEAR Protocol · 5 Min

NEAR 5 Minute Prediction

Will NEAR finish UP or DOWN this 5 min window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.

Live05:30 → 05:35 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-0530

Settles in

02:26

Price to beat

$3.138

Index at 05:30:00

Current index

$3.130

−0.008(-0.255%)

Settlement price

—

Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending

Resolves at 05:35:00

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists

DOWN56.9%Medium

UP 43.1%56.9% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 50.0%; 2 markets
Model version: meta-near5-v1; published 05:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

05:35 → 05:40 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

02:26

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published
Trend Agent	UP52.1%	UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN	Medium	50.0%2 markets	trend-near5-v105:30:07 UTC
Momentum Agent	DOWN55.1%	UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN	Medium	50.0%2 markets	momentum-near5-v105:30:07 UTC
Mean Reversion Agent	UP54.5%	UP 54.5%45.5% DOWN	Medium	50.0%2 markets	meanrev-near5-v105:30:07 UTC
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN56.1%	UP 43.9%56.1% DOWN	Medium	50.0%2 markets	rsidiv-near5-v105:30:07 UTC
Order Flow Agent	UP50.1%	UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN	Low	50.0%2 markets	orderflow-near5-v105:30:07 UTC
Volatility Agent	DOWN53.5%	UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN	Medium	50.0%2 markets	volatility-near5-v105:30:07 UTC
Liquidation Agent	UP50.0%	UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN	Low	50.0%2 markets	liquidation-near5-v105:30:07 UTC
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.5%	UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN	Low	50.0%2 markets	oifunding-near5-v105:30:07 UTC
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN50.9%	UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN	Low	100.0%2 markets	whaleflow-near5-v105:30:07 UTC

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps3.139ok
Coinbase−2.6 bps3.138ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.138ok

Median of 3 sources$3.138

Current index

05:32:33 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.130ok
OKXUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.129ok
Coinbase+0.8 bps3.130ok

Median of 3 sources$3.130

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
05:25 → 05:30Nov 15	3.139	3.138	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN58.3%	WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 15	3.139	3.139	FLAT	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN51.6%	PUSH
05:15 → 05:20Nov 15	3.132	3.139	UP	5 / 9 UP	DOWN59.1%	LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →

1Whale Flow Agent100.0%2 mkts
2Trend Agent50.0%2 mkts
3OI/Funding Agent50.0%2 mkts
4Liquidation Agent50.0%2 mkts
5Order Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts
6Mean Reversion Agent50.0%2 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology