Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

05:15 → 05:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:15 → 05:20 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-0515

Settled

Nov 15, 05:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.132
Index at 05:15:00

Final index

$3.139

Settlement price

$3.139
Index at 05:20:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
3.1343.1383.14105:1505:1605:1705:1805:20PTB 3.132

Settlement $3.139

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN59.1%Medium
UP 40.9%59.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
4 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 05:15:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP55.0%
UP 55.0%45.0% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP54.3%
UP 54.3%45.7% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.4%
UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Low25.0%4 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN58.0%
UP 42.0%58.0% DOWN
Medium75.0%4 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.0%4 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low50.0%4 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP52.3%
UP 52.3%47.7% DOWN
Low75.0%4 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:15:00 UTC

05:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.132ok
  • Coinbase+7.3 bps3.134ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−4.8 bps3.130ok
Median of 3 sources$3.132

Settlement · 05:20:00 UTC

05:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.2 bps3.139ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.139ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.4 bps3.139ok
Median of 3 sources$3.139

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Whale Flow Agent75.0%4 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent75.0%4 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent50.0%4 mkts
  4. 4Liquidation Agent50.0%4 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.0%4 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent50.0%4 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology