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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

05:20 → 05:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:20 → 05:25 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-0520

Settled

Nov 15, 05:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.139
Index at 05:20:00

Final index

$3.139

Settlement price

$3.139
Index at 05:25:00

Outcome

FLAT
Immutable record
3.1343.1363.14105:2005:2105:2205:2305:25PTB 3.139

Settlement $3.139

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsPUSH
DOWN51.6%Low
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
4 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 05:20:05 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 marketsPUSH
Momentum AgentDOWN55.5%
UP 44.5%55.5% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 marketsPUSH
Mean Reversion AgentUP56.6%
UP 56.6%43.4% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 marketsPUSH
RSI Divergence AgentUP54.5%
UP 54.5%45.5% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 marketsPUSH
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low25.0%4 marketsPUSH
Volatility AgentDOWN52.7%
UP 47.3%52.7% DOWN
Medium75.0%4 marketsPUSH
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.0%4 marketsPUSH
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low50.0%4 marketsPUSH
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low75.0%4 marketsPUSH

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:20:00 UTC

05:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.2 bps3.139ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.139ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.4 bps3.139ok
Median of 3 sources$3.139

Settlement · 05:25:00 UTC

05:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+2.4 bps3.140ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.139ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.3 bps3.138ok
Median of 3 sources$3.139

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:15 → 05:20Nov 153.1323.139UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.1%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Whale Flow Agent75.0%4 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent75.0%4 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent50.0%4 mkts
  4. 4Liquidation Agent50.0%4 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.0%4 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent50.0%4 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology