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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

05:25 → 05:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:25 → 05:30 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-0525

Settled

Nov 15, 05:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.139
Index at 05:25:00

Final index

$3.138

Settlement price

$3.138
Index at 05:30:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
3.1303.1333.13605:2505:2605:2705:2805:30PTB 3.139

Settlement $3.138

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN58.3%Medium
UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
4 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 05:25:05 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN54.9%
UP 45.1%54.9% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP53.9%
UP 53.9%46.1% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Low25.0%4 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN55.5%
UP 44.5%55.5% DOWN
Medium75.0%4 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.0%4 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low50.0%4 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Low75.0%4 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:25:00 UTC

05:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+2.4 bps3.140ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.139ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.3 bps3.138ok
Median of 3 sources$3.139

Settlement · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps3.139ok
  • Coinbase−2.6 bps3.138ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.138ok
Median of 3 sources$3.138

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:20 → 05:25Nov 153.1393.139FLAT5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%PUSH
05:15 → 05:20Nov 153.1323.139UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.1%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Whale Flow Agent75.0%4 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent75.0%4 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent50.0%4 mkts
  4. 4Liquidation Agent50.0%4 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.0%4 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent50.0%4 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology