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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

05:30 → 05:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:30 → 05:35 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-0530

Settled

Nov 15, 05:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.138
Index at 05:30:00

Final index

$3.124

Settlement price

$3.124
Index at 05:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
3.1243.1293.13305:3005:3105:3205:3305:35PTB 3.138

Settlement $3.124

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN56.9%Medium
UP 43.1%56.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
40.0%
5 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 05:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN55.1%
UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN
Medium40.0%5 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP54.5%
UP 54.5%45.5% DOWN
Medium20.0%5 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.1%
UP 43.9%56.1% DOWN
Medium40.0%5 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low40.0%5 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN53.5%
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low60.0%5 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low40.0%5 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Low80.0%5 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps3.139ok
  • Coinbase−2.6 bps3.138ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.138ok
Median of 3 sources$3.138

Settlement · 05:35:00 UTC

05:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+4.8 bps3.126ok
  • Coinbase−6.5 bps3.122ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.124ok
Median of 3 sources$3.124

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:25 → 05:30Nov 153.1393.138DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 153.1393.139FLAT5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%PUSH
05:15 → 05:20Nov 153.1323.139UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.1%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Whale Flow Agent80.0%5 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent60.0%5 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent60.0%5 mkts
  4. 4Volatility Agent60.0%5 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent40.0%5 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent40.0%5 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology