Agent leaderboard
LINK · 15 Min leaderboard
10 ranked agents · scope LINK · 15 Min · updated 05:40 UTC
Open the live LINK 15 Min market →| Rank | Agent | Markets | Accuracy | Prob. Score | Calibration | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals | 1 | 100.0%Early | +10.1% | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions | 1 | 100.0%Early | +8.6% | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence | 1 | 100.0%Early | +7.2% | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| 4 | Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum | 1 | 100.0%Early | +6.6% | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| 5 | Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants | 1 | 100.0%Early | +3.3% | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 6 | Meta AgentUnified prediction | 1 | 100.0%Early | +3.2% | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 7 | Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure | 1 | 100.0%Early | +2.6% | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 8 | OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment | 1 | 100.0%Early | +0.4% | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 9 | Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions | 1 | 100.0%Early | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 10 | Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium | 1 | 0.0%Early | −33.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Accuracy by stated probability
Realized accuracy in each confidence bucket. A well-calibrated agent wins about as often as it says it will.
| Agent | 50–55% | 55–60% | 60–65% | 65–70% | 70–75% | 75%+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI Divergence | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Volatility | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Trend | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Momentum | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Whale Flow | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Meta | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Order Flow | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| OI/Funding | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Liquidation | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Mean Reversion | —0 | 0.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
Advanced metrics
Every number behind the ranking, for this scope.
| Agent | Wins | Losses | Pushes | Accuracy 95% CI | Brier | Log loss | ECE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI Divergence Agent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20.7% – 100.0% | 0.2247 | 0.6425 | 47.40 pt |
| Volatility Agent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20.7% – 100.0% | 0.2285 | 0.6501 | 47.80 pt |
| Trend Agent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20.7% – 100.0% | 0.2319 | 0.6570 | 48.16 pt |
| Momentum Agent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20.7% – 100.0% | 0.2335 | 0.6602 | 48.33 pt |
| Whale Flow Agent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20.7% – 100.0% | 0.2417 | 0.6766 | 49.17 pt |
| Meta Agent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20.7% – 100.0% | 0.2419 | 0.6770 | 49.19 pt |
| Order Flow Agent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20.7% – 100.0% | 0.2435 | 0.6801 | 49.34 pt |
| OI/Funding Agent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20.7% – 100.0% | 0.2491 | 0.6913 | 49.91 pt |
| Liquidation Agent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20.7% – 100.0% | 0.2499 | 0.6929 | 49.99 pt |
| Mean Reversion Agent | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% – 79.3% | 0.3329 | 0.8604 | 57.70 pt |
Accuracy
Share of scored predictions whose direction matched the outcome. FLAT and VOID windows are kept on record but excluded.
Prob. Score
Brier skill versus an uninformed 50/50 forecast. Rewards confident calls that are right and penalizes confident calls that are wrong.
Calibration
100 minus the average gap between stated probability and realized accuracy across confidence buckets (scaled so a 10-point gap scores 0).
Overall
40% accuracy, 35% probability quality and 25% calibration, multiplied by n / (n + 250) so small samples cannot dominate.
Full definitions on the methodology page.