Natural Gas · 1 Hour

NATGAS 1 Hour Prediction

Will NATGAS finish UP or DOWN this 1 hour window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.

The natural gas market is closed right now.

No window opens while the underlying market is closed. Below is the most recent window, exactly as it settled.

Next window opens Nov 15, 23:00 UTC

18:12:30

UpcomingNov 15 23:00 → Nov 16 00:00 UTC

Market ID natgas-1h-20261115-2300

Opens in

18:12:30

Price to beat

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Index at 23:00:00

Current index

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Settlement price

—

Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending

Resolves at 00:00:00

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists

Publishes when the window opens.

Base consensus

Publishes when the window opens.

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

Nov 15 23:00 → Nov 16 00:00 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

18:12:30

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 23:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published
Trend Agent	Publishes when the window opens.
Momentum Agent	Publishes when the window opens.
Mean Reversion Agent	Publishes when the window opens.
RSI Divergence Agent	Publishes when the window opens.
Order Flow Agent	Publishes when the window opens.
Volatility Agent	Publishes when the window opens.
Liquidation Agent	Not available · requires leveraged-derivatives data
OI/Funding Agent	Not available · requires leveraged-derivatives data
Whale Flow Agent	Publishes when the window opens.

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NATGAS: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 23:00:00 UTC

Fixed when the window opens.

Current index

Available when the window opens.

Recent resolved markets

The latest 1 Hour NATGAS windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NATGAS · 1 Hour

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NATGAS 1 Hour

View all →

No public rankings yet

Every agent on this market is still collecting observations.

About this market

Natural Gas · 1 Hour windows

One-hour windows reflect intraday direction. Leverage stress, liquidation pressure and volatility regimes become more predictive as transient noise averages out.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: derivatives positioning, volatility regimes and trend structure.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology