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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 15 Min

05:15 → 05:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:15 → 05:30 UTC

Market ID near-15m-20261115-0515

Settled

Nov 15, 05:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.132
Index at 05:15:00

Final index

$3.138

Settlement price

$3.138
Index at 05:30:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
3.1303.1343.1373.14105:1505:1805:2205:2605:30PTB 3.132

Settlement $3.138

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN54.3%Low
UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
1 markets
Model version
meta-near15-v1
published 05:15:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Medium0.0%1 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN54.1%
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Medium0.0%1 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN61.0%
UP 39.0%61.0% DOWN
Medium0.0%1 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Medium100.0%1 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Low100.0%1 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium100.0%1 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low100.0%1 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low0.0%1 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP52.3%
UP 52.3%47.7% DOWN
Low100.0%1 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:15:00 UTC

05:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.132ok
  • Coinbase+7.3 bps3.134ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−4.8 bps3.130ok
Median of 3 sources$3.132

Settlement · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps3.139ok
  • Coinbase−2.6 bps3.138ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.138ok
Median of 3 sources$3.138

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Whale Flow Agent100.0%1 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent100.0%1 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent100.0%1 mkts
  4. 4Volatility Agent100.0%1 mkts
  5. 5Liquidation Agent100.0%1 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent0.0%1 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology