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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 15 Min

05:30 → 05:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:30 → 05:45 UTC

Market ID near-15m-20261115-0530

Settled

Nov 15, 05:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.138
Index at 05:30:00

Final index

$3.130

Settlement price

$3.130
Index at 05:45:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
3.1213.1273.13205:3005:3305:3705:4105:45PTB 3.138

Settlement $3.130

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN65.8%High
UP 34.2%65.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
2 markets
Model version
meta-near15-v1
published 05:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.7%
UP 44.3%55.7% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN56.3%
UP 43.7%56.3% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN60.0%
UP 40.0%60.0% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN60.3%
UP 39.7%60.3% DOWN
Medium100.0%2 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN55.7%
UP 44.3%55.7% DOWN
Medium100.0%2 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Low100.0%2 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps3.139ok
  • Coinbase−2.6 bps3.138ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.138ok
Median of 3 sources$3.138

Settlement · 05:45:00 UTC

05:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.130ok
  • Coinbase+2.0 bps3.131ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.130ok
Median of 3 sources$3.130

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:15 → 05:30Nov 153.1323.138UP5 / 9 UPDOWN54.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1RSI Divergence Agent100.0%2 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent100.0%2 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent100.0%2 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent50.0%2 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent50.0%2 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology