Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 15 Min

05:45 → 06:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Live05:45 → 06:00 UTC

Market ID near-15m-20261115-0545

Settles in

01:22

Price to beat

$3.130

Index at 05:45:00

Current index

$3.125

−0.005(-0.160%)

Settlement price

—

Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending

Resolves at 06:00:00

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists

DOWN62.5%High

UP 37.5%62.5% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 50.0%; 2 markets
Model version: meta-near15-v1; published 05:45:07 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published
Trend Agent	DOWN53.1%	UP 46.9%53.1% DOWN	Medium	50.0%2 markets	trend-near15-v105:45:07 UTC
Momentum Agent	DOWN55.6%	UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN	Medium	50.0%2 markets	momentum-near15-v105:45:07 UTC
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN52.2%	UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN	Medium	50.0%2 markets	meanrev-near15-v105:45:07 UTC
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN53.4%	UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN	Medium	100.0%2 markets	rsidiv-near15-v105:45:07 UTC
Order Flow Agent	UP51.6%	UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN	Low	50.0%2 markets	orderflow-near15-v105:45:07 UTC
Volatility Agent	DOWN57.2%	UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN	Medium	100.0%2 markets	volatility-near15-v105:45:07 UTC
Liquidation Agent	UP50.0%	UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN	Low	50.0%2 markets	liquidation-near15-v105:45:07 UTC
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.3%	UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN	Low	50.0%2 markets	oifunding-near15-v105:45:07 UTC
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN50.8%	UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN	Low	100.0%2 markets	whaleflow-near15-v105:45:07 UTC

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:45:00 UTC

05:45:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.130ok
Coinbase+2.0 bps3.131ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.130ok

Median of 3 sources$3.130

Current index

05:58:35 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−1.2 bps3.125ok
OKXUSDT→USD+3.6 bps3.127ok
Coinbase0.0 bps3.125ok

Median of 3 sources$3.125

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
05:30 → 05:45Nov 15	3.138	3.130	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN65.8%	WIN
05:15 → 05:30Nov 15	3.132	3.138	UP	5 / 9 UP	DOWN54.3%	LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 15 Min

View all →

1RSI Divergence Agent100.0%2 mkts
2Volatility Agent100.0%2 mkts
3Whale Flow Agent100.0%2 mkts
4Meta Agent50.0%2 mkts
5Order Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts
6Trend Agent50.0%2 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology