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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 15 Min

06:00 → 06:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live06:00 → 06:15 UTC

Market ID near-15m-20261115-0600

Settles in

08:25

Price to beat

$3.119
Index at 06:00:00

Current index

$3.114
−0.005(-0.160%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 06:15:00
3.1083.1133.1173.12206:0006:0306:0706:1106:15PTB 3.119
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN52.9%Low
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
66.7%
3 markets
Model version
meta-near15-v1
published 06:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN52.8%
UP 47.2%52.8% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN54.2%
UP 45.8%54.2% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN56.5%
UP 43.5%56.5% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Medium100.0%3 markets
Order Flow AgentUP51.5%
UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets
Volatility AgentUP52.0%
UP 52.0%48.0% DOWN
Medium100.0%3 markets
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low66.7%3 markets
Whale Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low100.0%3 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:00:00 UTC

06:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.119ok
  • Coinbase+3.1 bps3.120ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.119ok
Median of 3 sources$3.119

Current index

06:06:33 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.114ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.6 bps3.115ok
  • Coinbase−1.0 bps3.114ok
Median of 3 sources$3.114

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:45 → 06:00Nov 153.1303.119DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.5%WIN
05:30 → 05:45Nov 153.1383.130DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.8%WIN
05:15 → 05:30Nov 153.1323.138UP5 / 9 UPDOWN54.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1RSI Divergence Agent100.0%3 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent100.0%3 mkts
  3. 3Meta Agent66.7%3 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent66.7%3 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent66.7%3 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent100.0%3 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology