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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 15 Min

06:15 → 06:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live06:15 → 06:30 UTC

Market ID near-15m-20261115-0615

Settles in

11:18

Price to beat

$3.097
Index at 06:15:00

Current index

$3.112
+0.015(0.484%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 06:30:00
3.0923.0993.1073.11406:1506:1806:2206:2606:30PTB 3.097
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN54.7%Low
UP 45.3%54.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
66.7%
3 markets
Model version
meta-near15-v1
published 06:15:07 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 markets
Momentum AgentUP51.5%
UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.9%
UP 41.1%58.9% DOWN
Medium100.0%3 markets
Order Flow AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets
Volatility AgentDOWN56.7%
UP 43.3%56.7% DOWN
Medium100.0%3 markets
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low66.7%3 markets
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Low100.0%3 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:15:00 UTC

06:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.3 bps3.097ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.097ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.3 bps3.097ok
Median of 3 sources$3.097

Current index

06:18:41 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.112ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+4.8 bps3.114ok
  • Coinbase−1.4 bps3.112ok
Median of 3 sources$3.112

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:00 → 06:15Nov 153.119—VOID5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.9%VOID
05:45 → 06:00Nov 153.1303.119DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.5%WIN
05:30 → 05:45Nov 153.1383.130DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.8%WIN
05:15 → 05:30Nov 153.1323.138UP5 / 9 UPDOWN54.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1RSI Divergence Agent100.0%3 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent100.0%3 mkts
  3. 3Meta Agent66.7%3 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent66.7%3 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent66.7%3 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent100.0%3 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology