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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 15 Min

02:30 → 02:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:30 → 02:45 UTC

Market ID xrp-15m-20261115-0230

Settled

Nov 15, 02:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9442
Index at 02:30:00

Final index

$0.9506

Settlement price

$0.9506
Index at 02:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.94590.94820.950402:3002:3302:3702:4102:45PTB 0.9442

Settlement $0.9506

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN51.8%Low
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
3 markets
Model version
meta-xrp15-v1
published 02:30:05 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.5%
UP 44.5%55.5% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Low66.7%3 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low100.0%3 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low66.7%3 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low66.7%3 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:30:00 UTC

02:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps0.9441ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9442ok
  • Coinbase+4.1 bps0.9446ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9442

Settlement · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9505ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9506ok
  • Coinbase+2.5 bps0.9508ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9506

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent100.0%3 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent66.7%3 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent66.7%3 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent66.7%3 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent0.0%3 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent0.0%3 mkts

About this market

XRP · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology