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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 15 Min

02:45 → 03:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:45 → 03:00 UTC

Market ID xrp-15m-20261115-0245

Settled

Nov 15, 03:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9506
Index at 02:45:00

Final index

$0.9539

Settlement price

$0.9539
Index at 03:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.94850.95270.954802:4502:4802:5202:5603:00PTB 0.9506

Settlement $0.9539

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN53.9%Medium
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
3 markets
Model version
meta-xrp15-v1
published 02:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.6%
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN54.4%
UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.8%
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Low66.7%3 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low100.0%3 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low66.7%3 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low66.7%3 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9505ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9506ok
  • Coinbase+2.5 bps0.9508ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9506

Settlement · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9538ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9539ok
  • Coinbase+2.4 bps0.9541ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9539

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:30 → 02:45Nov 150.94420.9506UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent100.0%3 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent66.7%3 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent66.7%3 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent66.7%3 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent0.0%3 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent0.0%3 mkts

About this market

XRP · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology