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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

08:45 → 08:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:45 → 08:50 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-0845

Settled

Nov 15, 08:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$893.52
Index at 08:45:00

Final index

$892.56

Settlement price

$892.56
Index at 08:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
892.04894.51895.7408:4508:4608:4708:4808:50PTB 893.52

Settlement $892.56

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
UP51.2%Low
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
52.9%
70 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 08:45:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP54.7%
UP 54.7%45.3% DOWN
Medium52.9%70 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Medium54.3%70 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Medium51.4%70 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentUP53.2%
UP 53.2%46.8% DOWN
Medium57.1%70 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low45.7%70 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP54.8%
UP 54.8%45.2% DOWN
Medium50.0%70 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low44.3%70 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low51.4%70 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Low50.0%70 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:45:00 UTC

08:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−3.1 bps893.25ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps893.52ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.1 bps893.62ok
Median of 3 sources$893.52

Settlement · 08:50:00 UTC

08:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+5.7 bps893.07ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps892.56ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−3.1 bps892.28ok
Median of 3 sources$892.56

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:40 → 08:45Nov 15890.86893.52UP5 / 9 UPUP52.7%WIN
08:35 → 08:40Nov 15894.06890.86DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 15895.48894.06DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.8%WIN
08:25 → 08:30Nov 15891.04895.48UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.4%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 15888.50891.04UP5 / 9 DOWNUP54.9%WIN
08:15 → 08:20Nov 15889.10888.50DOWN5 / 9 UPUP56.2%LOSS
08:10 → 08:15Nov 15893.27889.10DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.5%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 15893.73893.27DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.0%WIN
08:00 → 08:05Nov 15893.25893.73UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.5%LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 15891.89893.25UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 15891.39891.89UP5 / 9 DOWNUP55.6%WIN
07:45 → 07:50Nov 15891.92891.39DOWN6 / 9 UPUP60.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1OI/Funding Agent51.4%70 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent52.9%70 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.0%70 mkts
  4. 4Momentum Agent54.3%70 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent51.4%70 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent57.1%70 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology