Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

10:40 → 10:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled10:40 → 10:45 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-1040

Settled

Nov 15, 10:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$912.28

Index at 10:40:00

Final index

$915.05

Settlement price

$915.05

Index at 10:45:00

Outcome

Immutable record

Settlement $915.05

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS

DOWN64.6%High

UP 35.4%64.6% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 55.6%; 108 markets
Model version: meta-zec5-v1; published 10:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

9 / 9 DOWN

100.0% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN54.4%	UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN	Medium	55.6%108 markets	trend-zec5-v110:40:04 UTC	LOSS
Momentum Agent	DOWN55.5%	UP 44.5%55.5% DOWN	Medium	55.6%108 markets	momentum-zec5-v110:40:04 UTC	LOSS
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN57.8%	UP 42.2%57.8% DOWN	Medium	53.7%108 markets	meanrev-zec5-v110:40:04 UTC	LOSS
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN62.1%	UP 37.9%62.1% DOWN	Medium	60.2%108 markets	rsidiv-zec5-v110:40:04 UTC	LOSS
Order Flow Agent	DOWN50.7%	UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN	Low	45.4%108 markets	orderflow-zec5-v110:40:04 UTC	LOSS
Volatility Agent	DOWN51.1%	UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN	Medium	51.9%108 markets	volatility-zec5-v110:40:04 UTC	LOSS
Liquidation Agent	DOWN52.1%	UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN	Low	45.4%108 markets	liquidation-zec5-v110:40:04 UTC	LOSS
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.3%	UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN	Low	49.1%108 markets	oifunding-zec5-v110:40:04 UTC	LOSS
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN51.8%	UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN	Low	48.1%108 markets	whaleflow-zec5-v110:40:04 UTC	LOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:40:00 UTC

10:40:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps912.28ok
Coinbase+4.2 bps912.67ok
OKXUSDT→USD−2.4 bps912.07ok

Median of 3 sources$912.28

Settlement · 10:45:00 UTC

10:45:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps914.98ok
Coinbase+1.7 bps915.20ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps915.05ok

Median of 3 sources$915.05

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
10:35 → 10:40Nov 15	908.23	912.28	UP	6 / 9 UP	UP51.2%	WIN
10:30 → 10:35Nov 15	908.38	908.23	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN53.5%	WIN
10:25 → 10:30Nov 15	908.41	908.38	DOWN	6 / 9 UP	UP55.5%	LOSS
10:20 → 10:25Nov 15	910.72	908.41	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN52.8%	WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 15	914.04	910.72	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN52.7%	WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 15	914.13	914.04	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN62.8%	WIN
10:05 → 10:10Nov 15	911.27	914.13	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN61.5%	LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 15	907.04	911.27	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN50.4%	LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 15	910.52	907.04	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN55.9%	WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 15	908.84	910.52	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN57.9%	LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 15	915.75	908.84	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN64.3%	WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 15	912.63	915.75	UP	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN69.7%	LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →

1Meta Agent55.6%108 mkts
2Mean Reversion Agent53.7%108 mkts
3RSI Divergence Agent60.2%108 mkts
4Trend Agent55.6%108 mkts
5Volatility Agent51.9%108 mkts
6Momentum Agent55.6%108 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology