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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

10:45 → 10:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:45 → 10:50 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-1045

Settled

Nov 15, 10:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$915.05
Index at 10:45:00

Final index

$914.32

Settlement price

$914.32
Index at 10:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
913.21914.03914.84915.6610:4510:4610:4710:4810:50PTB 915.05

Settlement $914.32

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN63.0%High
UP 37.0%63.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
55.5%
110 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 10:45:07 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.2%
UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN
Medium55.5%110 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN58.7%
UP 41.3%58.7% DOWN
Medium55.5%110 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.6%
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Medium53.6%110 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN62.6%
UP 37.4%62.6% DOWN
Medium60.0%110 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low45.5%110 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN55.1%
UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN
Medium51.8%110 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low45.5%110 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low48.2%110 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.8%
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Low48.2%110 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:45:00 UTC

10:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps914.98ok
  • Coinbase+1.7 bps915.20ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps915.05ok
Median of 3 sources$915.05

Settlement · 10:50:00 UTC

10:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps914.32ok
  • Coinbase+6.3 bps914.89ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.1 bps914.22ok
Median of 3 sources$914.32

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:40 → 10:45Nov 15912.28915.05UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.6%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 15908.23912.28UP6 / 9 UPUP51.2%WIN
10:30 → 10:35Nov 15908.38908.23DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.5%WIN
10:25 → 10:30Nov 15908.41908.38DOWN6 / 9 UPUP55.5%LOSS
10:20 → 10:25Nov 15910.72908.41DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 15914.04910.72DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.7%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 15914.13914.04DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.8%WIN
10:05 → 10:10Nov 15911.27914.13UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.5%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 15907.04911.27UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 15910.52907.04DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 15908.84910.52UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.9%LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 15915.75908.84DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Meta Agent55.5%110 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent55.5%110 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent53.6%110 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent60.0%110 mkts
  5. 5Volatility Agent51.8%110 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent55.5%110 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology