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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

04:45 → 04:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled04:45 → 04:50 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0445

Settled

Nov 15, 04:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$594.45
Index at 04:45:00

Final index

$595.51

Settlement price

$595.51
Index at 04:50:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
594.05594.64595.24595.8304:4504:4604:4704:4804:50PTB 594.45

Settlement $595.51

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN63.2%High
UP 36.8%63.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.7%
46 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 04:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 04:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.3%
UP 43.7%56.3% DOWN
Medium45.7%46 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN54.7%
UP 45.3%54.7% DOWN
Medium45.7%46 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.4%
UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN
Medium45.7%46 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.8%
UP 43.2%56.8% DOWN
Medium45.7%46 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP52.0%
UP 52.0%48.0% DOWN
Low56.5%46 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN57.8%
UP 42.2%57.8% DOWN
Medium45.7%46 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low54.3%46 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low43.5%46 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low52.2%46 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 04:45:00 UTC

04:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.3 bps594.52ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps594.45ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.0 bps594.39ok
Median of 3 sources$594.45

Settlement · 04:50:00 UTC

04:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.51ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+2.1 bps595.63ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.4 bps595.48ok
Median of 3 sources$595.51

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
04:40 → 04:45Nov 15594.05594.45UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.8%LOSS
04:35 → 04:40Nov 15595.82594.05DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.9%WIN
04:30 → 04:35Nov 15595.35595.82UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%LOSS
04:25 → 04:30Nov 15594.18595.35UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.9%LOSS
04:20 → 04:25Nov 15594.05594.18UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.8%LOSS
04:15 → 04:20Nov 15594.68594.05DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.3%WIN
04:10 → 04:15Nov 15592.74594.68UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.0%LOSS
04:05 → 04:10Nov 15592.93592.74DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.4%WIN
04:00 → 04:05Nov 15593.95592.93DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.7%WIN
03:55 → 04:00Nov 15593.25593.95UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.6%LOSS
03:50 → 03:55Nov 15593.64593.25DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
03:45 → 03:50Nov 15595.35593.64DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent56.5%46 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent54.3%46 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent52.2%46 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent43.5%46 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent45.7%46 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent45.7%46 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology