Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

04:00 → 04:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled04:00 → 04:05 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0400

Settled

Nov 15, 04:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$593.95
Index at 04:00:00

Final index

$592.93

Settlement price

$592.93
Index at 04:05:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
592.59593.34594.8504:0004:0104:0204:0304:05PTB 593.95

Settlement $592.93

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN66.7%High
UP 33.3%66.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
38.7%
31 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 04:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 04:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN59.7%
UP 40.3%59.7% DOWN
Medium38.7%31 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN59.2%
UP 40.8%59.2% DOWN
Medium38.7%31 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium38.7%31 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.8%
UP 44.2%55.8% DOWN
Medium38.7%31 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN53.0%
UP 47.0%53.0% DOWN
Low51.6%31 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN56.8%
UP 43.2%56.8% DOWN
Medium38.7%31 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low61.3%31 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low41.9%31 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Low54.8%31 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 04:00:00 UTC

04:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps593.95ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.3 bps593.93ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.8 bps594.05ok
Median of 3 sources$593.95

Settlement · 04:05:00 UTC

04:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps592.93ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+3.5 bps593.14ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.6 bps592.90ok
Median of 3 sources$592.93

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:55 → 04:00Nov 15593.25593.95UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.6%LOSS
03:50 → 03:55Nov 15593.64593.25DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
03:45 → 03:50Nov 15595.35593.64DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.3%WIN
03:40 → 03:45Nov 15594.01595.35UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.7%LOSS
03:35 → 03:40Nov 15592.62594.01UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.9%LOSS
03:30 → 03:35Nov 15594.13592.62DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.9%WIN
03:25 → 03:30Nov 15595.05594.13DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.3%WIN
03:20 → 03:25Nov 15596.45595.05DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%WIN
03:15 → 03:20Nov 15596.05596.45UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 15596.20596.05DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN72.4%WIN
03:05 → 03:10Nov 15595.64596.20UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.2%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 15593.61595.64UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.8%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent61.3%31 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent54.8%31 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent51.6%31 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent41.9%31 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent38.7%31 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent38.7%31 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology