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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

03:20 → 03:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:20 → 03:25 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0320

Settled

Nov 15, 03:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$596.45
Index at 03:20:00

Final index

$595.05

Settlement price

$595.05
Index at 03:25:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
595.11595.64596.18596.7103:2003:2103:2203:2303:25PTB 596.45

Settlement $595.05

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN68.9%High
UP 31.1%68.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
35.3%
17 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 03:20:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN61.8%
UP 38.2%61.8% DOWN
Medium35.3%17 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN59.9%
UP 40.1%59.9% DOWN
Medium35.3%17 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN62.8%
UP 37.2%62.8% DOWN
Medium35.3%17 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN59.9%
UP 40.1%59.9% DOWN
Medium35.3%17 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.5%
UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN
Low47.1%17 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium35.3%17 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low64.7%17 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low47.1%17 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low52.9%17 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:20:00 UTC

03:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.6 bps596.48ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.2 bps596.38ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps596.45ok
Median of 3 sources$596.45

Settlement · 03:25:00 UTC

03:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.3 bps594.98ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.7 bps595.15ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.05ok
Median of 3 sources$595.05

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:15 → 03:20Nov 15596.05596.45UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 15596.20596.05DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN72.4%WIN
03:05 → 03:10Nov 15595.64596.20UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.2%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 15593.61595.64UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.8%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 15592.32593.61UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.4%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 15591.47592.32UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.8%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 15591.03591.47UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%LOSS
02:40 → 02:45Nov 15589.96591.03UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.2%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 15588.99589.96UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 15588.32588.99UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 15586.02588.32UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent64.7%17 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent52.9%17 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent47.1%17 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent47.1%17 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent35.3%17 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent35.3%17 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology