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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

03:40 → 03:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:40 → 03:45 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0340

Settled

Nov 15, 03:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$594.01
Index at 03:40:00

Final index

$595.35

Settlement price

$595.35
Index at 03:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
593.55594.77595.3803:4003:4103:4203:4303:45PTB 594.01

Settlement $595.35

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN70.7%High
UP 29.3%70.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
36.0%
25 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 03:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN62.5%
UP 37.5%62.5% DOWN
Medium36.0%25 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN59.4%
UP 40.6%59.4% DOWN
Medium36.0%25 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN58.4%
UP 41.6%58.4% DOWN
Medium36.0%25 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.4%
UP 41.6%58.4% DOWN
Medium36.0%25 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low48.0%25 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN56.4%
UP 43.6%56.4% DOWN
Medium36.0%25 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low64.0%25 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low40.0%25 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low52.0%25 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:40:00 UTC

03:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.3 bps593.93ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps594.01ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.3 bps594.03ok
Median of 3 sources$594.01

Settlement · 03:45:00 UTC

03:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.9 bps595.30ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.8 bps595.46ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.35ok
Median of 3 sources$595.35

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:35 → 03:40Nov 15592.62594.01UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.9%LOSS
03:30 → 03:35Nov 15594.13592.62DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.9%WIN
03:25 → 03:30Nov 15595.05594.13DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.3%WIN
03:20 → 03:25Nov 15596.45595.05DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%WIN
03:15 → 03:20Nov 15596.05596.45UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 15596.20596.05DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN72.4%WIN
03:05 → 03:10Nov 15595.64596.20UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.2%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 15593.61595.64UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.8%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 15592.32593.61UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.4%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 15591.47592.32UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.8%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 15591.03591.47UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%LOSS
02:40 → 02:45Nov 15589.96591.03UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent64.0%25 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent52.0%25 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent48.0%25 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent40.0%25 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent36.0%25 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent36.0%25 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology