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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

12:25 → 12:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled12:25 → 12:30 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-1225

Settled

Nov 15, 12:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$597.66
Index at 12:25:00

Final index

$597.67

Settlement price

$597.67
Index at 12:30:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
597.08597.38597.9712:2512:2612:2712:2812:30PTB 597.66

Settlement $597.67

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN56.5%Medium
UP 43.5%56.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
48.5%
202 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 12:25:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.7%
UP 41.3%58.7% DOWN
Medium49.0%202 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN62.6%
UP 37.4%62.6% DOWN
Medium48.5%202 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN60.3%
UP 39.7%60.3% DOWN
Medium48.0%202 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.1%
UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN
Medium48.5%202 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.0%202 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN56.7%
UP 43.3%56.7% DOWN
Medium45.5%202 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.5%202 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low46.5%202 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low51.0%202 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:25:00 UTC

12:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.6 bps597.69ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−1.5 bps597.57ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps597.66ok
Median of 3 sources$597.66

Settlement · 12:30:00 UTC

12:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.4 bps597.75ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−6.0 bps597.31ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps597.67ok
Median of 3 sources$597.67

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
12:20 → 12:25Nov 15597.35597.66UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.5%LOSS
12:15 → 12:20Nov 15596.30597.35UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
12:10 → 12:15Nov 15596.38596.30DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
12:05 → 12:10Nov 15595.23596.38UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
12:00 → 12:05Nov 15595.47595.23DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.7%WIN
11:55 → 12:00Nov 15596.91595.47DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%WIN
11:50 → 11:55Nov 15597.47596.91DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.3%WIN
11:45 → 11:50Nov 15597.48597.47DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.5%WIN
11:40 → 11:45Nov 15597.96597.48DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%WIN
11:35 → 11:40Nov 15597.10597.96UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.9%LOSS
11:30 → 11:35Nov 15597.59597.10DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.9%WIN
11:25 → 11:30Nov 15597.21597.59UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.4%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent53.0%202 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent51.0%202 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent50.5%202 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent46.5%202 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent49.0%202 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent48.0%202 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology