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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

11:40 → 11:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:40 → 11:45 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-1140

Settled

Nov 15, 11:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$597.96
Index at 11:40:00

Final index

$597.48

Settlement price

$597.48
Index at 11:45:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
597.46597.77598.08598.3911:4011:4111:4211:4311:45PTB 597.96

Settlement $597.48

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN53.0%Low
UP 47.0%53.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
48.1%
187 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 11:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium48.7%187 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN53.5%
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Medium48.1%187 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN58.4%
UP 41.6%58.4% DOWN
Medium47.6%187 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN59.7%
UP 40.3%59.7% DOWN
Medium48.1%187 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.5%187 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN56.7%
UP 43.3%56.7% DOWN
Medium45.5%187 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.8%187 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low47.1%187 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low51.3%187 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:40:00 UTC

11:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps597.96ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.1 bps597.97ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.9 bps597.85ok
Median of 3 sources$597.96

Settlement · 11:45:00 UTC

11:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps597.48ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.4 bps597.51ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.6 bps597.45ok
Median of 3 sources$597.48

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:35 → 11:40Nov 15597.10597.96UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.9%LOSS
11:30 → 11:35Nov 15597.59597.10DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.9%WIN
11:25 → 11:30Nov 15597.21597.59UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.4%LOSS
11:20 → 11:25Nov 15597.80597.21DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.8%WIN
11:15 → 11:20Nov 15596.57597.80UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.6%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 15596.02596.57UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.5%LOSS
11:05 → 11:10Nov 15597.20596.02DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 15597.39597.81UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 15596.96597.39UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.9%LOSS
10:45 → 10:50Nov 15597.63596.96DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.1%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 15597.58597.63UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.9%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent53.5%187 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent51.3%187 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent50.8%187 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent47.1%187 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent48.7%187 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent48.1%187 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology