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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

10:40 → 10:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:40 → 10:45 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-1040

Settled

Nov 15, 10:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$597.58
Index at 10:40:00

Final index

$597.63

Settlement price

$597.63
Index at 10:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
597.10597.32597.7710:4010:4110:4210:4310:45PTB 597.58

Settlement $597.63

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN60.9%High
UP 39.1%60.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.7%
165 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 10:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.0%
UP 47.0%53.0% DOWN
Medium47.3%165 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN57.9%
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Medium47.3%165 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.1%
UP 46.9%53.1% DOWN
Medium46.7%165 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN60.0%
UP 40.0%60.0% DOWN
Medium47.3%165 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP52.4%
UP 52.4%47.6% DOWN
Low53.3%165 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium44.8%165 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low51.5%165 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low47.9%165 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low50.3%165 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:40:00 UTC

10:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.3 bps597.59ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps597.58ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.5 bps597.49ok
Median of 3 sources$597.58

Settlement · 10:45:00 UTC

10:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps597.63ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.9 bps597.69ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.9 bps597.46ok
Median of 3 sources$597.63

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:35 → 10:40Nov 15597.35597.58UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.1%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 15597.30597.35UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.9%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 15597.15597.30UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.7%LOSS
10:20 → 10:25Nov 15597.11597.15UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.4%LOSS
10:15 → 10:20Nov 15598.09597.11DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 15597.61598.09UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS
10:05 → 10:10Nov 15596.50597.61UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.1%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 15595.30596.50UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.8%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 15596.16595.30DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.8%WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 15595.92596.16UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.2%LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 15596.78595.92DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 15596.12596.78UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.1%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent53.3%165 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent51.5%165 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.3%165 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent47.9%165 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent46.7%165 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent47.3%165 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology