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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

09:55 → 10:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:55 → 10:00 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0955

Settled

Nov 15, 10:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$596.16
Index at 09:55:00

Final index

$595.30

Settlement price

$595.30
Index at 10:00:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
594.87595.29595.7109:5509:5609:5709:5810:00PTB 596.16

Settlement $595.30

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN66.8%High
UP 33.2%66.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.9%
148 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 09:55:05 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN62.8%
UP 37.2%62.8% DOWN
Medium46.6%148 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN57.9%
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Medium46.6%148 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN56.8%
UP 43.2%56.8% DOWN
Medium45.9%148 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.5%
UP 41.5%58.5% DOWN
Medium46.6%148 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low54.7%148 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium44.6%148 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low52.7%148 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low45.3%148 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Low52.0%148 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:55:00 UTC

09:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps596.25ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps596.16ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.2 bps596.15ok
Median of 3 sources$596.16

Settlement · 10:00:00 UTC

10:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.1 bps595.30ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.8 bps595.41ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.30ok
Median of 3 sources$595.30

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:50 → 09:55Nov 15595.92596.16UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.2%LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 15596.78595.92DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 15596.12596.78UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.1%LOSS
09:35 → 09:40Nov 15595.78596.12UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.4%LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 15596.89595.78DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.2%WIN
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 15596.91596.33DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.3%WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 15598.21596.91DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN72.8%WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 15598.00598.21UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN75.4%LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 15596.36598.00UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN77.7%LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 15591.94596.36UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.4%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 15589.42591.94UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent54.7%148 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent52.0%148 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent52.7%148 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent45.3%148 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent46.6%148 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent46.6%148 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology