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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

09:35 → 09:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:35 → 09:40 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0935

Settled

Nov 15, 09:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$595.78
Index at 09:35:00

Final index

$596.12

Settlement price

$596.12
Index at 09:40:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
595.16595.51596.2009:3509:3609:3709:3809:40PTB 595.78

Settlement $596.12

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN64.4%High
UP 35.6%64.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.2%
143 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 09:35:05 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.7%
UP 42.3%57.7% DOWN
Medium46.9%143 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN59.0%
UP 41.0%59.0% DOWN
Medium46.9%143 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN58.0%
UP 42.0%58.0% DOWN
Medium45.5%143 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.7%
UP 44.3%55.7% DOWN
Medium46.9%143 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Low53.8%143 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Medium44.1%143 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.1%143 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low44.8%143 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low51.7%143 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:35:00 UTC

09:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.78ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.3 bps595.79ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.8 bps595.67ok
Median of 3 sources$595.78

Settlement · 09:40:00 UTC

09:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.6 bps596.09ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.2 bps596.19ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps596.12ok
Median of 3 sources$596.12

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:30 → 09:35Nov 15596.89595.78DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.2%WIN
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 15596.91596.33DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.3%WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 15598.21596.91DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN72.8%WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 15598.00598.21UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN75.4%LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 15596.36598.00UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN77.7%LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 15591.94596.36UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.4%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 15589.42591.94UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 15588.55589.42UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 15588.98588.55DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.2%WIN
08:40 → 08:45Nov 15587.80588.98UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.4%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 15588.83587.80DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.4%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent53.8%143 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent51.7%143 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent53.1%143 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent44.8%143 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent46.9%143 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent46.9%143 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology