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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

09:10 → 09:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:10 → 09:15 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0910

Settled

Nov 15, 09:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$598.00
Index at 09:10:00

Final index

$598.21

Settlement price

$598.21
Index at 09:15:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
597.33598.56599.1709:1009:1109:1209:1309:15PTB 598.00

Settlement $598.21

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN75.4%High
UP 24.6%75.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.9%
135 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 09:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN60.6%
UP 39.4%60.6% DOWN
Medium45.9%135 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN63.3%
UP 36.7%63.3% DOWN
Medium45.9%135 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN66.2%
UP 33.8%66.2% DOWN
High44.4%135 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN62.6%
UP 37.4%62.6% DOWN
Medium45.9%135 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low54.8%135 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN62.1%
UP 37.9%62.1% DOWN
Medium45.2%135 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low52.6%135 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low43.7%135 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low51.9%135 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:10:00 UTC

09:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps598.00ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.3 bps598.07ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.4 bps597.91ok
Median of 3 sources$598.00

Settlement · 09:15:00 UTC

09:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps598.21ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.4 bps598.29ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.3 bps598.19ok
Median of 3 sources$598.21

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:05 → 09:10Nov 15596.36598.00UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN77.7%LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 15591.94596.36UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.4%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 15589.42591.94UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 15588.55589.42UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 15588.98588.55DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.2%WIN
08:40 → 08:45Nov 15587.80588.98UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.4%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 15588.83587.80DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.4%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 15588.21588.83UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN74.4%LOSS
08:25 → 08:30Nov 15586.52588.21UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.1%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 15584.17586.52UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.2%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 15584.98584.17DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.4%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 15586.74584.98DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN74.0%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent54.8%135 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent51.9%135 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent52.6%135 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent43.7%135 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent45.9%135 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent45.9%135 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology