Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

08:15 → 08:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:15 → 08:20 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0815

Settled

Nov 15, 08:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$584.98
Index at 08:15:00

Final index

$584.17

Settlement price

$584.17
Index at 08:20:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
584.17584.47584.77585.0708:1508:1608:1708:1808:20PTB 584.98

Settlement $584.17

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN69.4%High
UP 30.6%69.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.3%
117 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 08:15:07 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN60.7%
UP 39.3%60.7% DOWN
Medium45.3%117 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN59.0%
UP 41.0%59.0% DOWN
Medium45.3%117 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.0%
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Medium44.4%117 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.2%
UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN
Medium45.3%117 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low55.6%117 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN60.8%
UP 39.2%60.8% DOWN
Medium45.3%117 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.0%117 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low42.7%117 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low51.3%117 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:15:00 UTC

08:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.6 bps584.95ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps584.98ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.3 bps585.00ok
Median of 3 sources$584.98

Settlement · 08:20:00 UTC

08:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps584.17ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+2.5 bps584.32ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.1 bps584.05ok
Median of 3 sources$584.17

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:10 → 08:15Nov 15586.74584.98DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN74.0%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 15586.21586.74UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.9%LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 15586.38586.21DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN74.2%WIN
07:55 → 08:00Nov 15585.77586.38UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.3%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 15585.32585.77UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%LOSS
07:45 → 07:50Nov 15585.87585.32DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.1%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 15587.87585.87DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.3%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 15589.05587.87DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 15589.69589.05DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 15589.73589.69DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 15589.98589.73DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 15589.64589.98UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent55.6%117 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent51.3%117 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent53.0%117 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent42.7%117 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent45.3%117 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent45.3%117 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology