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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

07:20 → 07:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:20 → 07:25 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0720

Settled

Nov 15, 07:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$589.98
Index at 07:20:00

Final index

$589.73

Settlement price

$589.73
Index at 07:25:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
589.69590.20590.4507:2007:2107:2207:2307:25PTB 589.98

Settlement $589.73

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN67.7%High
UP 32.3%67.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
44.4%
99 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 07:20:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN60.3%
UP 39.7%60.3% DOWN
Medium44.4%99 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN57.4%
UP 42.6%57.4% DOWN
Medium44.4%99 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium43.4%99 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN59.1%
UP 40.9%59.1% DOWN
Medium44.4%99 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.9%
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Low53.5%99 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN57.8%
UP 42.2%57.8% DOWN
Medium44.4%99 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.5%99 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low44.4%99 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Low51.5%99 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:20:00 UTC

07:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.8 bps590.08ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps589.98ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.2 bps589.97ok
Median of 3 sources$589.98

Settlement · 07:25:00 UTC

07:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.3 bps589.80ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.2 bps589.72ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps589.73ok
Median of 3 sources$589.73

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:15 → 07:20Nov 15589.64589.98UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 15590.76589.64DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.9%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 15589.62590.76UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.6%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 15590.37589.62DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.4%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 15591.00590.37DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.7%WIN
06:50 → 06:55Nov 15592.02591.00DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 15591.95592.02UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%LOSS
06:40 → 06:45Nov 15591.14591.95UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.3%LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 15591.09591.14UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.6%LOSS
06:30 → 06:35Nov 15592.09591.09DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.5%WIN
06:25 → 06:30Nov 15591.34592.09UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN72.8%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 15591.85591.34DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN74.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent53.5%99 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent51.5%99 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent53.5%99 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent44.4%99 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent44.4%99 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent44.4%99 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology