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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

06:45 → 06:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:45 → 06:50 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0645

Settled

Nov 15, 06:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$591.95
Index at 06:45:00

Final index

$592.02

Settlement price

$592.02
Index at 06:50:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
591.25591.53591.80592.0806:4506:4606:4706:4806:50PTB 591.95

Settlement $592.02

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN67.6%High
UP 32.4%67.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
48.3%
87 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 06:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.9%
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Medium48.3%87 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN60.2%
UP 39.8%60.2% DOWN
Medium48.3%87 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.9%
UP 45.1%54.9% DOWN
Medium47.1%87 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.1%
UP 41.9%58.1% DOWN
Medium48.3%87 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP53.3%
UP 53.3%46.7% DOWN
Low57.5%87 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN58.3%
UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN
Medium48.3%87 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low49.4%87 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low43.7%87 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low49.4%87 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:45:00 UTC

06:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps591.99ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.8 bps591.90ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps591.95ok
Median of 3 sources$591.95

Settlement · 06:50:00 UTC

06:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.4 bps592.04ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps592.02ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.0 bps591.90ok
Median of 3 sources$592.02

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:40 → 06:45Nov 15591.14591.95UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.3%LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 15591.09591.14UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.6%LOSS
06:30 → 06:35Nov 15592.09591.09DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.5%WIN
06:25 → 06:30Nov 15591.34592.09UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN72.8%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 15591.85591.34DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN74.3%WIN
06:15 → 06:20Nov 15589.57591.85UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.5%LOSS
06:10 → 06:15Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
06:05 → 06:10Nov 15590.36—VOID6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%VOID
06:00 → 06:05Nov 15592.65590.36DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.2%WIN
05:55 → 06:00Nov 15594.19592.65DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 15594.97594.19DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 15595.51594.97DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent57.5%87 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent49.4%87 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent49.4%87 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent43.7%87 mkts
  5. 5Volatility Agent48.3%87 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent48.3%87 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology