Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

06:05 → 06:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

This window was cancelled (VOID)Offline at settlement

The network was not ingesting prices at the settlement instant. Markets are never settled late from historical data. The predictions below stay on the record as VOID: they are excluded from accuracy, calibration and learning.

Void06:05 → 06:10 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0605

Settled

Nov 15, 06:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$590.36

Index at 06:05:00

Final index

—

Settlement price

—

Index at 06:10:00

Outcome

VOID

Immutable record

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsVOID

DOWN57.2%Medium

UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 50.0%; 74 markets
Model version: meta-bnb5-v1; published 06:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN55.3%	UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN	Medium	50.0%74 markets	trend-bnb5-v206:05:04 UTC	VOID
Momentum Agent	DOWN51.6%	UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN	Medium	50.0%74 markets	momentum-bnb5-v206:05:04 UTC	VOID
Mean Reversion Agent	UP50.5%	UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN	Medium	48.6%74 markets	meanrev-bnb5-v206:05:04 UTC	VOID
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN52.6%	UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN	Medium	50.0%74 markets	rsidiv-bnb5-v206:05:04 UTC	VOID
Order Flow Agent	DOWN53.0%	UP 47.0%53.0% DOWN	Low	58.1%74 markets	orderflow-bnb5-v106:05:04 UTC	VOID
Volatility Agent	DOWN58.3%	UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN	Medium	50.0%74 markets	volatility-bnb5-v206:05:04 UTC	VOID
Liquidation Agent	UP50.0%	UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN	Low	47.3%74 markets	liquidation-bnb5-v106:05:04 UTC	VOID
OI/Funding Agent	UP50.0%	UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN	Low	45.9%74 markets	oifunding-bnb5-v106:05:04 UTC	VOID
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN52.0%	UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN	Low	51.4%74 markets	whaleflow-bnb5-v106:05:04 UTC	VOID

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:05:00 UTC

06:05:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps590.45ok
OKXUSDT→USD−0.3 bps590.34ok
BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps590.36ok

Median of 3 sources$590.36

Settlement · 06:10:00 UTC

Available at settlement.

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
06:00 → 06:05Nov 15	592.65	590.36	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN62.2%	WIN
05:55 → 06:00Nov 15	594.19	592.65	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN61.8%	WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 15	594.97	594.19	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN67.0%	WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 15	595.51	594.97	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN67.6%	WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 15	595.09	595.51	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.0%	LOSS
05:35 → 05:40Nov 15	594.61	595.09	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN60.5%	LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 15	595.49	594.61	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.9%	WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 15	596.23	595.49	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN68.0%	WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 15	596.29	596.23	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN70.1%	WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 15	595.39	596.29	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.4%	LOSS
05:10 → 05:15Nov 15	593.93	595.39	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.5%	LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 15	594.66	593.93	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN62.6%	WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →

1Order Flow Agent58.1%74 mkts
2Whale Flow Agent51.4%74 mkts
3Liquidation Agent47.3%74 mkts
4OI/Funding Agent45.9%74 mkts
5Volatility Agent50.0%74 mkts
6RSI Divergence Agent50.0%74 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology