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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

05:05 → 05:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:05 → 05:10 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0505

Settled

Nov 15, 05:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$594.66
Index at 05:05:00

Final index

$593.93

Settlement price

$593.93
Index at 05:10:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
593.74594.11594.48594.8505:0505:0605:0705:0805:10PTB 594.66

Settlement $593.93

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN62.6%High
UP 37.4%62.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.3%
54 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 05:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.3%
UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN
Medium46.3%54 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium46.3%54 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN57.1%
UP 42.9%57.1% DOWN
Medium46.3%54 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.1%
UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN
Medium46.3%54 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Low55.6%54 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium46.3%54 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.7%54 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low46.3%54 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Low51.9%54 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:05:00 UTC

05:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps594.66ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.1 bps594.65ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.8 bps594.70ok
Median of 3 sources$594.66

Settlement · 05:10:00 UTC

05:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+3.3 bps594.13ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps593.90ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps593.93ok
Median of 3 sources$593.93

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:00 → 05:05Nov 15595.03594.66DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
04:55 → 05:00Nov 15596.02595.03DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN73.5%WIN
04:50 → 04:55Nov 15595.51596.02UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS
04:45 → 04:50Nov 15594.45595.51UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.2%LOSS
04:40 → 04:45Nov 15594.05594.45UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.8%LOSS
04:35 → 04:40Nov 15595.82594.05DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.9%WIN
04:30 → 04:35Nov 15595.35595.82UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%LOSS
04:25 → 04:30Nov 15594.18595.35UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.9%LOSS
04:20 → 04:25Nov 15594.05594.18UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.8%LOSS
04:15 → 04:20Nov 15594.68594.05DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.3%WIN
04:10 → 04:15Nov 15592.74594.68UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.0%LOSS
04:05 → 04:10Nov 15592.93592.74DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.4%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent55.6%54 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent51.9%54 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent53.7%54 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent46.3%54 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent46.3%54 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent46.3%54 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology