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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

04:55 → 05:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled04:55 → 05:00 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0455

Settled

Nov 15, 05:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$596.02
Index at 04:55:00

Final index

$595.03

Settlement price

$595.03
Index at 05:00:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
595.07595.42595.76596.1104:5504:5604:5704:5805:00PTB 596.02

Settlement $595.03

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN73.5%High
UP 26.5%73.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
44.0%
50 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 04:55:03 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 04:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.6%
UP 41.4%58.6% DOWN
Medium44.0%50 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN60.7%
UP 39.3%60.7% DOWN
Medium44.0%50 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN64.0%
UP 36.0%64.0% DOWN
Medium44.0%50 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN60.8%
UP 39.2%60.8% DOWN
Medium44.0%50 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Low56.0%50 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN56.4%
UP 43.6%56.4% DOWN
Medium44.0%50 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low56.0%50 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low46.0%50 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low50.0%50 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 04:55:00 UTC

04:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps596.02ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.1 bps595.90ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.1 bps596.03ok
Median of 3 sources$596.02

Settlement · 05:00:00 UTC

05:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps594.99ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.03ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.03ok
Median of 3 sources$595.03

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
04:50 → 04:55Nov 15595.51596.02UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS
04:45 → 04:50Nov 15594.45595.51UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.2%LOSS
04:40 → 04:45Nov 15594.05594.45UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.8%LOSS
04:35 → 04:40Nov 15595.82594.05DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.9%WIN
04:30 → 04:35Nov 15595.35595.82UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%LOSS
04:25 → 04:30Nov 15594.18595.35UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.9%LOSS
04:20 → 04:25Nov 15594.05594.18UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.8%LOSS
04:15 → 04:20Nov 15594.68594.05DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.3%WIN
04:10 → 04:15Nov 15592.74594.68UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.0%LOSS
04:05 → 04:10Nov 15592.93592.74DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.4%WIN
04:00 → 04:05Nov 15593.95592.93DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.7%WIN
03:55 → 04:00Nov 15593.25593.95UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent56.0%50 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent56.0%50 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.0%50 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent46.0%50 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent44.0%50 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent44.0%50 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology