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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

05:30 → 05:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:30 → 05:35 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0530

Settled

Nov 15, 05:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$595.49
Index at 05:30:00

Final index

$594.61

Settlement price

$594.61
Index at 05:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
594.52594.85595.1805:3005:3105:3205:3305:35PTB 595.49

Settlement $594.61

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN66.9%High
UP 33.1%66.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
64 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 05:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.6%
UP 42.4%57.6% DOWN
Medium50.0%64 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN57.9%
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Medium50.0%64 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN58.7%
UP 41.3%58.7% DOWN
Medium48.4%64 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.9%
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Medium50.0%64 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low54.7%64 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN56.0%
UP 44.0%56.0% DOWN
Medium50.0%64 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.0%64 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.0%64 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Low51.6%64 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps595.54ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.49ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.8 bps595.44ok
Median of 3 sources$595.49

Settlement · 05:35:00 UTC

05:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps594.61ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.9 bps594.49ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.1 bps594.61ok
Median of 3 sources$594.61

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:25 → 05:30Nov 15596.23595.49DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.0%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 15596.29596.23DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.1%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 15595.39596.29UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.4%LOSS
05:10 → 05:15Nov 15593.93595.39UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.5%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 15594.66593.93DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.6%WIN
05:00 → 05:05Nov 15595.03594.66DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
04:55 → 05:00Nov 15596.02595.03DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN73.5%WIN
04:50 → 04:55Nov 15595.51596.02UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS
04:45 → 04:50Nov 15594.45595.51UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.2%LOSS
04:40 → 04:45Nov 15594.05594.45UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.8%LOSS
04:35 → 04:40Nov 15595.82594.05DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.9%WIN
04:30 → 04:35Nov 15595.35595.82UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent54.7%64 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent51.6%64 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent50.0%64 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent50.0%64 mkts
  5. 5Volatility Agent50.0%64 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent50.0%64 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology