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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

06:15 → 06:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:15 → 06:20 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0615

Settled

Nov 15, 06:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$589.57
Index at 06:15:00

Final index

$591.85

Settlement price

$591.85
Index at 06:20:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
589.21590.23591.25592.2706:1506:1606:1706:1806:20PTB 589.57

Settlement $591.85

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN66.5%High
UP 33.5%66.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
48.1%
77 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 06:15:06 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN61.0%
UP 39.0%61.0% DOWN
Medium48.1%77 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN57.2%
UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN
Medium48.1%77 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Medium46.8%77 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.8%
UP 44.2%55.8% DOWN
Medium48.1%77 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Low58.4%77 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN59.1%
UP 40.9%59.1% DOWN
Medium48.1%77 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low49.4%77 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low45.5%77 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low53.2%77 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:15:00 UTC

06:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps589.66ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps589.57ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.3 bps589.55ok
Median of 3 sources$589.57

Settlement · 06:20:00 UTC

06:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.3 bps591.92ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.4 bps591.77ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps591.85ok
Median of 3 sources$591.85

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:10 → 06:15Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
06:05 → 06:10Nov 15590.36—VOID6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%VOID
06:00 → 06:05Nov 15592.65590.36DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.2%WIN
05:55 → 06:00Nov 15594.19592.65DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 15594.97594.19DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 15595.51594.97DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 15595.09595.51UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.0%LOSS
05:35 → 05:40Nov 15594.61595.09UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 15595.49594.61DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.9%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 15596.23595.49DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.0%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 15596.29596.23DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.1%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 15595.39596.29UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.4%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent58.4%77 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent53.2%77 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent49.4%77 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent45.5%77 mkts
  5. 5Volatility Agent48.1%77 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent48.1%77 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology