Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

07:15 → 07:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:15 → 07:20 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0715

Settled

Nov 15, 07:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$589.64
Index at 07:15:00

Final index

$589.98

Settlement price

$589.98
Index at 07:20:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
589.94590.25590.5707:1507:1607:1707:1807:20PTB 589.64

Settlement $589.98

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN68.7%High
UP 31.3%68.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.4%
97 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 07:15:06 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.9%
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Medium45.4%97 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN60.7%
UP 39.3%60.7% DOWN
Medium45.4%97 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.2%
UP 46.8%53.2% DOWN
Medium44.3%97 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN59.2%
UP 40.8%59.2% DOWN
Medium45.4%97 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN53.1%
UP 46.9%53.1% DOWN
Low54.6%97 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN57.7%
UP 42.3%57.7% DOWN
Medium45.4%97 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low52.6%97 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low44.3%97 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Low50.5%97 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:15:00 UTC

07:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.1 bps589.71ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−1.4 bps589.56ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps589.64ok
Median of 3 sources$589.64

Settlement · 07:20:00 UTC

07:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.8 bps590.08ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps589.98ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.2 bps589.97ok
Median of 3 sources$589.98

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:10 → 07:15Nov 15590.76589.64DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.9%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 15589.62590.76UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.6%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 15590.37589.62DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.4%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 15591.00590.37DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.7%WIN
06:50 → 06:55Nov 15592.02591.00DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 15591.95592.02UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%LOSS
06:40 → 06:45Nov 15591.14591.95UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.3%LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 15591.09591.14UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.6%LOSS
06:30 → 06:35Nov 15592.09591.09DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.5%WIN
06:25 → 06:30Nov 15591.34592.09UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN72.8%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 15591.85591.34DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN74.3%WIN
06:15 → 06:20Nov 15589.57591.85UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent54.6%97 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent52.6%97 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.5%97 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent44.3%97 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent45.4%97 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent45.4%97 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology