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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

08:05 → 08:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:05 → 08:10 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0805

Settled

Nov 15, 08:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$586.21
Index at 08:05:00

Final index

$586.74

Settlement price

$586.74
Index at 08:10:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
586.06586.37586.69587.0008:0508:0608:0708:0808:10PTB 586.21

Settlement $586.74

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN70.9%High
UP 29.1%70.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.5%
114 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 08:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN59.4%
UP 40.6%59.4% DOWN
Medium46.5%114 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN58.9%
UP 41.1%58.9% DOWN
Medium46.5%114 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN59.2%
UP 40.8%59.2% DOWN
Medium45.6%114 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN59.1%
UP 40.9%59.1% DOWN
Medium46.5%114 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP52.9%
UP 52.9%47.1% DOWN
Low56.1%114 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN60.5%
UP 39.5%60.5% DOWN
Medium46.5%114 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low51.8%114 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low43.0%114 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.9%114 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:05:00 UTC

08:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+3.0 bps586.38ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps586.21ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.5 bps586.12ok
Median of 3 sources$586.21

Settlement · 08:10:00 UTC

08:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps586.83ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps586.74ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps586.71ok
Median of 3 sources$586.74

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:00 → 08:05Nov 15586.38586.21DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN74.2%WIN
07:55 → 08:00Nov 15585.77586.38UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.3%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 15585.32585.77UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%LOSS
07:45 → 07:50Nov 15585.87585.32DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.1%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 15587.87585.87DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.3%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 15589.05587.87DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 15589.69589.05DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 15589.73589.69DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 15589.98589.73DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 15589.64589.98UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 15590.76589.64DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.9%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 15589.62590.76UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent56.1%114 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent51.8%114 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.9%114 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent43.0%114 mkts
  5. 5Volatility Agent46.5%114 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent46.5%114 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology