Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

07:50 → 07:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled07:50 → 07:55 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0750

Settled

Nov 15, 07:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$585.32

Index at 07:50:00

Final index

$585.77

Settlement price

$585.77

Index at 07:55:00

Outcome

Immutable record

Settlement $585.77

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS

DOWN63.6%High

UP 36.4%63.6% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 45.9%; 109 markets
Model version: meta-bnb5-v1; published 07:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN57.5%	UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN	Medium	45.9%109 markets	trend-bnb5-v207:50:04 UTC	LOSS
Momentum Agent	DOWN52.4%	UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN	Medium	45.9%109 markets	momentum-bnb5-v207:50:04 UTC	LOSS
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN53.8%	UP 46.2%53.8% DOWN	Medium	45.0%109 markets	meanrev-bnb5-v207:50:04 UTC	LOSS
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN54.6%	UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN	Medium	45.9%109 markets	rsidiv-bnb5-v207:50:04 UTC	LOSS
Order Flow Agent	UP50.4%	UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN	Low	55.0%109 markets	orderflow-bnb5-v107:50:04 UTC	WIN
Volatility Agent	DOWN60.7%	UP 39.3%60.7% DOWN	Medium	45.9%109 markets	volatility-bnb5-v207:50:04 UTC	LOSS
Liquidation Agent	DOWN52.2%	UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN	Low	52.3%109 markets	liquidation-bnb5-v107:50:04 UTC	LOSS
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.1%	UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN	Low	43.1%109 markets	oifunding-bnb5-v107:50:04 UTC	LOSS
Whale Flow Agent	UP50.7%	UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN	Low	49.5%109 markets	whaleflow-bnb5-v107:50:04 UTC	WIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:50:00 UTC

07:50:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−0.1 bps585.32ok
BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps585.32ok
OKXUSDT→USD+0.2 bps585.33ok

Median of 3 sources$585.32

Settlement · 07:55:00 UTC

07:55:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD+2.5 bps585.91ok
BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps585.77ok
OKXUSDT→USD−0.2 bps585.76ok

Median of 3 sources$585.77

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
07:45 → 07:50Nov 15	585.87	585.32	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN58.1%	WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 15	587.87	585.87	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN64.3%	WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 15	589.05	587.87	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN65.1%	WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 15	589.69	589.05	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN65.1%	WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 15	589.73	589.69	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN67.6%	WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 15	589.98	589.73	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN67.7%	WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 15	589.64	589.98	UP	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN68.7%	LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 15	590.76	589.64	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.9%	WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 15	589.62	590.76	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN62.6%	LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 15	590.37	589.62	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.4%	WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 15	591.00	590.37	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.7%	WIN
06:50 → 06:55Nov 15	592.02	591.00	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN67.7%	WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →

1Order Flow Agent55.0%109 mkts
2Liquidation Agent52.3%109 mkts
3Whale Flow Agent49.5%109 mkts
4OI/Funding Agent43.1%109 mkts
5Trend Agent45.9%109 mkts
6Momentum Agent45.9%109 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology