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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

08:25 → 08:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:25 → 08:30 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0825

Settled

Nov 15, 08:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$586.52
Index at 08:25:00

Final index

$588.21

Settlement price

$588.21
Index at 08:30:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
587.30588.16589.0208:2508:2608:2708:2808:30PTB 586.52

Settlement $588.21

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN69.1%High
UP 30.9%69.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.8%
120 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 08:25:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN59.0%
UP 41.0%59.0% DOWN
Medium45.8%120 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN57.3%
UP 42.7%57.3% DOWN
Medium45.8%120 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN58.3%
UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN
Medium45.0%120 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.3%
UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN
Medium45.8%120 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.5%
UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN
Low55.0%120 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN62.6%
UP 37.4%62.6% DOWN
Medium45.8%120 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low52.5%120 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low43.3%120 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low50.8%120 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:25:00 UTC

08:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps586.56ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps586.52ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.9 bps586.41ok
Median of 3 sources$586.52

Settlement · 08:30:00 UTC

08:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps588.21ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−1.3 bps588.14ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.4 bps588.24ok
Median of 3 sources$588.21

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:20 → 08:25Nov 15584.17586.52UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.2%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 15584.98584.17DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.4%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 15586.74584.98DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN74.0%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 15586.21586.74UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.9%LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 15586.38586.21DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN74.2%WIN
07:55 → 08:00Nov 15585.77586.38UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.3%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 15585.32585.77UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%LOSS
07:45 → 07:50Nov 15585.87585.32DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.1%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 15587.87585.87DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.3%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 15589.05587.87DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 15589.69589.05DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 15589.73589.69DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent55.0%120 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent52.5%120 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.8%120 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent43.3%120 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent45.8%120 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent45.8%120 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology