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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

09:15 → 09:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:15 → 09:20 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0915

Settled

Nov 15, 09:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$598.21
Index at 09:15:00

Final index

$596.91

Settlement price

$596.91
Index at 09:20:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
596.75597.22597.6909:1509:1609:1709:1809:20PTB 598.21

Settlement $596.91

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN72.8%High
UP 27.2%72.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.3%
137 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 09:15:06 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN60.6%
UP 39.4%60.6% DOWN
Medium46.0%137 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN59.3%
UP 40.7%59.3% DOWN
Medium46.7%137 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN62.3%
UP 37.7%62.3% DOWN
Medium44.5%137 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN61.7%
UP 38.3%61.7% DOWN
Medium46.7%137 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low54.0%137 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN58.1%
UP 41.9%58.1% DOWN
Medium45.3%137 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low52.6%137 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low43.8%137 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.1%
UP 51.1%48.9% DOWN
Low51.8%137 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:15:00 UTC

09:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps598.21ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.4 bps598.29ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.3 bps598.19ok
Median of 3 sources$598.21

Settlement · 09:20:00 UTC

09:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps596.91ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+2.8 bps597.08ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.4 bps596.89ok
Median of 3 sources$596.91

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:10 → 09:15Nov 15598.00598.21UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN75.4%LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 15596.36598.00UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN77.7%LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 15591.94596.36UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.4%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 15589.42591.94UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 15588.55589.42UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 15588.98588.55DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.2%WIN
08:40 → 08:45Nov 15587.80588.98UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.4%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 15588.83587.80DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.4%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 15588.21588.83UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN74.4%LOSS
08:25 → 08:30Nov 15586.52588.21UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.1%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 15584.17586.52UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.2%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 15584.98584.17DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.4%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent54.0%137 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent51.8%137 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent52.6%137 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent43.8%137 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent46.7%137 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent46.7%137 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology