Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

10:00 → 10:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled10:00 → 10:05 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-1000

Settled

Nov 15, 10:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$595.30

Index at 10:00:00

Final index

$596.50

Settlement price

$596.50

Index at 10:05:00

Outcome

Immutable record

Settlement $596.50

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS

DOWN65.8%High

UP 34.2%65.8% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 45.3%; 150 markets
Model version: meta-bnb5-v1; published 10:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN57.5%	UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN	Medium	46.0%150 markets	trend-bnb5-v210:00:12 UTC	LOSS
Momentum Agent	DOWN57.5%	UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN	Medium	46.0%150 markets	momentum-bnb5-v210:00:12 UTC	LOSS
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN56.8%	UP 43.2%56.8% DOWN	Medium	45.3%150 markets	meanrev-bnb5-v210:00:12 UTC	LOSS
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN56.0%	UP 44.0%56.0% DOWN	Medium	46.0%150 markets	rsidiv-bnb5-v210:00:12 UTC	LOSS
Order Flow Agent	DOWN51.0%	UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN	Low	55.3%150 markets	orderflow-bnb5-v110:00:12 UTC	LOSS
Volatility Agent	DOWN55.1%	UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN	Medium	44.0%150 markets	volatility-bnb5-v210:00:12 UTC	LOSS
Liquidation Agent	UP50.0%	UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN	Low	52.7%150 markets	liquidation-bnb5-v110:00:12 UTC	WIN
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.0%	UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN	Low	46.0%150 markets	oifunding-bnb5-v110:00:12 UTC	LOSS
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN50.4%	UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN	Low	51.3%150 markets	whaleflow-bnb5-v110:00:12 UTC	LOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:00:00 UTC

10:00:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−0.1 bps595.30ok
BybitUSDT→USD+1.8 bps595.41ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.30ok

Median of 3 sources$595.30

Settlement · 10:05:00 UTC

10:05:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−1.9 bps596.39ok
BybitUSDT→USD+0.8 bps596.55ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps596.50ok

Median of 3 sources$596.50

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
09:55 → 10:00Nov 15	596.16	595.30	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.8%	WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 15	595.92	596.16	UP	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN68.2%	LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 15	596.78	595.92	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN67.0%	WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 15	596.12	596.78	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN63.1%	LOSS
09:35 → 09:40Nov 15	595.78	596.12	UP	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN64.4%	LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 15	596.89	595.78	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN63.2%	WIN
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15	—	—	VOID	—	Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 15	596.91	596.33	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN68.3%	WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 15	598.21	596.91	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN72.8%	WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 15	598.00	598.21	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN75.4%	LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 15	596.36	598.00	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN77.7%	LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 15	591.94	596.36	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN71.4%	LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →

1Order Flow Agent55.3%150 mkts
2Whale Flow Agent51.3%150 mkts
3Liquidation Agent52.7%150 mkts
4OI/Funding Agent46.0%150 mkts
5Trend Agent46.0%150 mkts
6Momentum Agent46.0%150 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology